How to Win the Football
Pools
Resources for those who
are interested in how to win the football pools - links to
results, plans and perms , dividends, stats,
tables,
tips, blogs, news and a winning system below. And MORE - there's
advice about fixed odds betting
too.
Winning the Football Pools
Treble Chance - Why not You?
If YOU want to win the football pools, then you have come to the
right site!
Need to find 8 football draws and get them in aline? Football pools
systems really do
work if they are based on historical performance analysis
and common sense strategies. Why? Because football teams play at a predictable level form, in general.
Naturally, you would expect higher-ranking teams in the league to beat teams lower down the league, on
average. And in that lies the answer to the question.
There are two parts to solving the problem of how to find those elusive football
draws and win the football pools. The first is the performance analysis - the designer of the system should have
looked at past results of teams and matches, and then produced a mathematical model which explains the results with
a reasonable degree of accuracy. It should enable football draw predictions to be made on the basis of the
model.
Actually, accuracy only needs to be slightly better than random. An
edge of a few percent above random is adequate in the long run, but we would expect to do much better occasionally,
and win. Of course, we want to win enough to cover the stakes on those weeks we did not win, so that it becomes a
profitable exercise.
But, there is another factor - a long run small edge is not enough, you have to
have another element in your plan if you are to reduce the odds to realistic levels some of the time (and by that
we mean odds of about 3/1).
The second part in the football draw problem is what we call coverage. It is not
economic to cover every possible combination on a coupon of 49 matches - there are 450 million ways of lining up
any eight score draw results, if there are eight - there could be as few as three some weeks (thankfully rarely).
That is where ‘plans’ and
‘perms’ come in.
These are ways of covering say 20 to 24 selections on a coupon in such a way that
when there are maybe 12-15 score draw results on a given coupon, then there is a reasonable expectation of winnings
if we have forecast say six or eight of those magical football draws.
Put simply, the plan may cover the 20 forecast selections in
such a way that 25,000 possible 8 match combinations are staked. This reduces the odds significantly.
Before you commit to a system, check that published results for the system are
available. One or two football pools system providers do publish results, and some have been know to offer free
forecast trials (this site does occasionally, so make sure you are on our mailing list - left hand side of
screen).
The final key aspect is that to be successful in this arena, then persistence is
important - that one week that an entry is skipped may be the week that would have been the winner. We are, after
all, working on a statistical basis. In conclusion, football pools systems can work if they are well designed and
properly used (and that means not allowing one’s views on a likely match outcome to affect the
selections).
And, do not forget that the football pools season is year-round, as Australian
football pools can be done during the northern summer! And, there are ways to do Brazilian Pools too!
In some countries, punters like to do 3 draw forecasts or other combinations. This
system can also be used for that.
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